Monday, July 13, 2020
Saturday, July 4, 2020
The Moon Photographed 1 Day Before the July 4th Eclipse -- Celestron SGT C8 and Galaxy 9 Plus
Finally got my act together, learned a proper Polar Alignment on the telescope.The mount is at the bottom, no tube installed in this picture
And did my first Astro-photography. With a smart phone shooting into the eyepiece. LOL Well it worked!
I need one more part to hook up my Canon 6D-Mark 2, will not have until Monday, so I miss the eclipse tonight unfortunately.
These photo's are straight out of the phone, no gamma adjust, no Lightroom, so the effects are quite interesting.
Comments appreciated.
stock out
Friday, May 15, 2020
Friday, May 8, 2020
Monday, April 27, 2020
Ben Davidson of Suspicious Observers Breaks Down The Deadliness of The Plandemic
Ben does a lot of the same stuff that I do, although I am well ahead of him on earthquakes and vulcanism.
"They" knew a long time ago. All the curious CEOs stepping down at the end of last year. The "club" is willing to kill dozens of millions through poverty and hunger. ----------------------------------------------------
"They" knew a long time ago. All the curious CEOs stepping down at the end of last year. The "club" is willing to kill dozens of millions through poverty and hunger. ----------------------------------------------------
Friday, April 24, 2020
USA and Italy Well Past the Peak And Doing Great!!!!!! Not What The MSM Wants You to Believe
You can see on the USA chart, the narratives that be are trying their best to make things as scary as possible. Including the massive effort at "Death Harvesting" and moving deaths from one day to the next in order to make it look like "most deaths ever" can be reported.
This is shameful to the extreme. Various corrupt parties of the Cabal are desperate and dangerous.
I am amazed they haven't pulled another False Flag mass shooting, but maybe they don't want to take attention from this over hyped SARS-2 Flu.
Chloroquine As A Potent Inhibitor of SARS coronavirus
Before there was any horse in the race, much less a horse race:Chloroquine was well recognized as a weapon against SARS.
So we can easily identify sects of the Deep State as those that attack it. Keep in mind, some are not really Deep State, but simply sheep who do no research and follow the lies set out for them whilst they go hating on Trump.
There is a ton more support for HCQ
The attacks on HCQ and the made up and overblown horrible side effects are duly noted. It does have some problems that would require medical intervention, but for the most part it's very effective.
One level up in lie quality is the claim that "in dosages necessary to be effective, it is very dangerous....."
Oh, but for the time to debunk all this crap.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1232869/
We report, however, that chloroquine has strong antiviral effects on SARS-CoV infection of primate cells. These inhibitory effects are observed when the cells are treated with the drug either before or after exposure to the virus, suggesting both prophylactic and therapeutic advantage.
From 2003, very supportive of HCQhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7092815/
Recent work
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7118659/
Wednesday, April 22, 2020
Deep Dive on Death Data USA And Breakdowns By State Groups
stock here, it's data collection time folks. I mean lie compilation time. Gather up the lies in real time and annotate them with the known facts. Showing the chronology and the lies and sources and establishing a coordinated effort to "make this as bad as it could be and appear to be"
Knowing what I know now, and reviewing what the CDC, NIH, WHO have said in the past, makes it 100% clear cut that they operated to inflict the most pain.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Note the first CHART.....all this hoopla, but in 22 of our states, as a group, they are only averaging 2 deaths a day, Now. A week from now it will be quite a bit less. Wow.
And CHART 2, in the next 20 largest states for deaths, in a week the average will be around 5 per day per state.
See how this is rolling? Heads need to roll. And keep in mind the last little blip, the last little peakiness was created by clear written instruction to count almost every death as
COVID-19. Unprecedented.
They are pimping out a 5 year olds death in Detroit....2 memes.....racism against blacks "hurts them more", and the very young are susceptible.
The smartest thing we could do now is send all schools and colleges back, let the restaurants and bars open and just advise older people to stay away. Young people who live with aging parents or grand parents, say over 70 for sure, should be allowed to not attend school, and shouldn't be allowed to without a signed acknowledgement of warming from the old folks.
After I did the US analysis, I ran Italy also. There is a surprising result there, and I think it is because they have started to loosen up. They have a steady, almost linear decline in death, right after their peak, they did start exponentially going down on a .97, but then as they loosened up, the exponent went to 1.....a linear decline in deaths. They will likely avoid a second wave of any magnitude because "enough" people got it. I put that chart at the far bottom and on it's own page.
...................
Italy Data below, and repeating my comment above.
After I did the US analysis, I ran Italy also. There is a surprising result there, and I think it is because they have started to loosen up. They have a steady, almost linear decline in death, right after their peak, they did start exponentially going down on a .97, but then as they loosened up, the exponent went to 1.....a linear decline in deaths. They will likely avoid a second wave of any magnitude because "enough" people got it. I put that chart at the far bottom and on it's own page.
Knowing what I know now, and reviewing what the CDC, NIH, WHO have said in the past, makes it 100% clear cut that they operated to inflict the most pain.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Note the first CHART.....all this hoopla, but in 22 of our states, as a group, they are only averaging 2 deaths a day, Now. A week from now it will be quite a bit less. Wow.
And CHART 2, in the next 20 largest states for deaths, in a week the average will be around 5 per day per state.
See how this is rolling? Heads need to roll. And keep in mind the last little blip, the last little peakiness was created by clear written instruction to count almost every death as
COVID-19. Unprecedented.
They are pimping out a 5 year olds death in Detroit....2 memes.....racism against blacks "hurts them more", and the very young are susceptible.
The smartest thing we could do now is send all schools and colleges back, let the restaurants and bars open and just advise older people to stay away. Young people who live with aging parents or grand parents, say over 70 for sure, should be allowed to not attend school, and shouldn't be allowed to without a signed acknowledgement of warming from the old folks.
After I did the US analysis, I ran Italy also. There is a surprising result there, and I think it is because they have started to loosen up. They have a steady, almost linear decline in death, right after their peak, they did start exponentially going down on a .97, but then as they loosened up, the exponent went to 1.....a linear decline in deaths. They will likely avoid a second wave of any magnitude because "enough" people got it. I put that chart at the far bottom and on it's own page.
...................
After I did the US analysis, I ran Italy also. There is a surprising result there, and I think it is because they have started to loosen up. They have a steady, almost linear decline in death, right after their peak, they did start exponentially going down on a .97, but then as they loosened up, the exponent went to 1.....a linear decline in deaths. They will likely avoid a second wave of any magnitude because "enough" people got it. I put that chart at the far bottom and on it's own page.
Sunday, April 5, 2020
USA "Flu" Mathematical Models. Updated Today. Mean = 175,000, Min 30k, Max 900k This Will Not Break the Country
stock sayeth: "It's all about the exponent....the rate of decrease of the exponent."
I use the 2 Day Leap, it's my method. Analysis of past Pandemics have often used "new cases per week" but that is kind of clunky
The USA Death Numbers Exponent was as high as 1.6, and now is more like 1.2, that is great, but still far from the magical 1.0 where death rates start going down.
Once you hit 1.0 then it starts declining more slowly, and the out-weeks exponent is critical to the number of total deaths. Point of reference, USA normal annual Flu Deaths is around 36,000, but 70,000 is totally normal also. A hard rain is going to fall.
And it might be .96 or .995 and that makes the difference between 30,000 deaths and 950,000 deaths, and those are very realistic upwards and downward bounded estimates. Let's call it a 95% confidence level that the real numbers will end up between those 2.
Throwing down....175,000 deaths in USA.
stock here. I am kind of shocked to be producing the best "Pandemic" models, but then again....not really. Who else has the ability but not the horse in the race......
Was the Spring Break "Debacle" actually a brilliant move? A huge push towards the seemingly magic number of 60% exposed in order to have "Herd Immunity"....by a fraction of the population that shows a .3% lethality rate....and knowing that case numbers in the under 30YO range are vastly understated, say there are 3 times more cases than every gets reported. So that means for the young 'uns, the lathality is .1%.....or just about the average flu.
stock out ------------------------------------------
stock here. I am kind of shocked to be producing the best "Pandemic" models, but then again....not really. Who else has the ability but not the horse in the race......
A quick overview of what the model looks like
I use the 2 Day Leap, it's my method. Analysis of past Pandemics have often used "new cases per week" but that is kind of clunky
The USA Death Numbers Exponent was as high as 1.6, and now is more like 1.2, that is great, but still far from the magical 1.0 where death rates start going down.
Once you hit 1.0 then it starts declining more slowly, and the out-weeks exponent is critical to the number of total deaths. Point of reference, USA normal annual Flu Deaths is around 36,000, but 70,000 is totally normal also. A hard rain is going to fall.
And it might be .96 or .995 and that makes the difference between 30,000 deaths and 950,000 deaths, and those are very realistic upwards and downward bounded estimates. Let's call it a 95% confidence level that the real numbers will end up between those 2.
Throwing down....175,000 deaths in USA.
stock here. I am kind of shocked to be producing the best "Pandemic" models, but then again....not really. Who else has the ability but not the horse in the race......
Was the Spring Break "Debacle" actually a brilliant move? A huge push towards the seemingly magic number of 60% exposed in order to have "Herd Immunity"....by a fraction of the population that shows a .3% lethality rate....and knowing that case numbers in the under 30YO range are vastly understated, say there are 3 times more cases than every gets reported. So that means for the young 'uns, the lathality is .1%.....or just about the average flu.
stock out ------------------------------------------
A quick overview of what the model looks like
Thursday, March 19, 2020
Trump Hating Media Leftist Lie That Italy Has It Under Control and USA is Flailing In The Wind Because of Trump
stock here. Using data is always a good starting point. Do we really need to continue to point out the lies of the Globalist Owned worst offenders, CNN, ABC, NBC in that order.
Yes we do, because they lie in the face of my guess, 100,000 to 1,000,000 Americans will die in the next 4 months. But their goal is to make Trump look bad, while not covering the failures of the CDC and the medical system in general.
So GOM Globalist Owned Media is pretending, today, that Italy has it under control. Let's review the data.
Italy has had a massive jump in number of new cases.
Italy's "exponent" on the 2 Day Leap model by stock, is 1.28
USA is 1.21. The lower the better.
Exponent is the far right column of the colored chart
Orange is my Model Data
Green is Actual
Yellow is percent that the model is off
NOT BAD!
Below is a chart of the model and actual data, the Model is running a bit hot.
The chart below is Cured - Dead, a big Delta is good, and Italy recently got lucky because of time, or actually figured a better way to get people cured, or maybe they just needed the hospital bed and called them cured and kicked them out. Stuff like this will happen.
The last chart is ratio of Cured / Dead, an improvement, but kind of sad that you only have a 35% better chance of being cured than of dying.
So GOM Globalist Owned Media is pretending, today, that Italy has it under control. Let's review the data.
Italy has had a massive jump in number of new cases.
Italy's "exponent" on the 2 Day Leap model by stock, is 1.28
USA is 1.21. The lower the better.
Exponent is the far right column of the colored chart
Orange is my Model Data
Green is Actual
Yellow is percent that the model is off
NOT BAD!
Below is a chart of the model and actual data, the Model is running a bit hot.
The chart below is Cured - Dead, a big Delta is good, and Italy recently got lucky because of time, or actually figured a better way to get people cured, or maybe they just needed the hospital bed and called them cured and kicked them out. Stuff like this will happen.
The last chart is ratio of Cured / Dead, an improvement, but kind of sad that you only have a 35% better chance of being cured than of dying.
Wednesday, March 18, 2020
Completed USA CV19 Model -- 40,000 to 90,000 Cases By April 11. You Might Not Want to Review the Model on June 11th, It's Below
I have been modeling Italy and nailing it within a few percent a day. Just finished model for USA.
By April 11, 40,000 to 90,000 depending on whether there is a big spike up when USA actually starts testing properly. I think the CDC is complicit and deep state in that regard, BTW
By June 11, 14,783,478 if no big spike (if CV19 is not already wide spread and just not detected) IF a big spike comes, my model comes off at the wheels because it would show 300M, but obviously not everyone will get this.
If you want the spreadsheet, it ain't pretty, but it's on the money. Check it out.
https://app.box.com/s/gikr8b94x5hrny31bngw0abf42y3c76e
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My spreadsheet, including Models for Italy, models for USA and another more exponential one from Mike Adams that I modified, added charts to......It show this Virus with an
By April 11, 40,000 to 90,000 depending on whether there is a big spike up when USA actually starts testing properly. I think the CDC is complicit and deep state in that regard, BTW
By June 11, 14,783,478 if no big spike (if CV19 is not already wide spread and just not detected) IF a big spike comes, my model comes off at the wheels because it would show 300M, but obviously not everyone will get this.
If you want the spreadsheet, it ain't pretty, but it's on the money. Check it out.
https://app.box.com/s/gikr8b94x5hrny31bngw0abf42y3c76e
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My spreadsheet, including Models for Italy, models for USA and another more exponential one from Mike Adams that I modified, added charts to......It show this Virus with an
R0 = 11.2
to 14.1
Which is way way above the CDC 2.2 to 2.4 total Balderdash.
Summary of results
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)